Cluster
2:
Risk identification, assessment,
monitoring and early warning |
Lead Agencies:
- World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
- United Nations University (UNU)
- European Commission Joint Research Centre (EC/JRC) |
|
Closing
statements |
|
|
|
Discussion
paper |
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Panel |
|
Panel
Report |
|
|
Date: |
19
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
17h00-19h00 |
|
|
Venue: |
Kairaku
room |
|
|
Chair: |
Ms. Helen
WOOD, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA |
|
|
Rapporteur: |
Marcus MOENCH,
International Development Research Centre (IDRC), Nepal |
|
|
Speakers: |
|
“Actionable” Early
Warning: One of the key ingredients of Preparedness
Systems
Mr. Loy REGO, Asian Disaster
Preparedness Center, Thailand |
|
Risk
and Early Warning
Mr. Erich PLATE, University of Karlsruhe,
Germany |
|
RISK
IDENTIFICATION, ASSESSMENT, MONITORING AND EARLY WARNING
Mr. Laban OGALLO, Drought
Monitoring Centre, Kenya |
|
Early
Warning
Mr. Kenzo HIROKI, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure
and Transportation, Japan |
|
RISK
IDENTIFICATION, ASSESSMENT, MONITORING AND EARLY WARNING
Ms. Barbara CARBY, Office
for Disaster Preparedness and
Emergency Management, Jamaica |
|
|
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Session
2.1
Integrated flood risk management through appropriate knowledge sharing
and capacity building systems |
|
Session
Report |
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Date: |
20
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
17h15-18h15 |
|
|
Venue: |
Nunobiki
room |
|
|
Organizer: |
- Government
of Japan (Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Japan
Meteorological Agency, Fire and Disaster Management Agency,
Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries)
- Government of Australia (Bureau of Meteorology)
- World Meteorological Organization (WMO) |
|
|
Partners: |
ESCAP/WMO
Typhoon Committee; Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA);
South Pacific Applied Geosciences Commission (SOPAC); United
Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) |
|
|
Objectives |
The
risk of flood is increasing, because of climate changes and
dense concentration of population and property in urban areas.
It is therefore essential to appropriately mitigate, prepare
for, and respond to water induced disasters such as floods
and landslides for global sustainable development and poverty
reduction. To realize disaster-resistant community, in this
session, importance of,
- Raising
awareness of hazards before disaster strikes, and enhancing
the early-warning system to ensure it works effectively
in case of disaster
- Building
capacity through the technical, legal and institutional
means in order to make communities more disaster resilient
Promotion
of international cooperation to create or enhance the network
among the meteorological community, hydrological community
and disaster prevention community, etc., is discussed. |
|
|
Agenda: |
Opening
address by the co-chairs
- Mr.
Bruce Stewart (BoM, Australia)
- Mr.
Akira Terakawa (PWRI, Japan)
Presentations
on knowledge sharing
- Importance
of integrating meteorological and hydrological data/information
(Mr. Atu Kaloumaira, Community Risk Programme, SOPAC,)
- Importance
of early warning for flash-flood and sediment-related in
mountainous regions
(Mr. Bobby Prabowo, Directorate General of Water Resources, Ministry
of Public Works, Indonesia/JICA Integrated Sediment-related Disaster
Management Project for Volcanic Areas)
- Importance
of interagency activities for mitigating against, responding
to, recovering from water-induced disasters
(Prof. Slobodan Simonovic, Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction,
University of Western Ontario/ UNESCO)
Presentations
on capacity building
- Desirable
legal framework to support integrated approach to flood
management
(Mr. Joachim Saalmüller, Associated Programme on Flood Management
(APFM), WMO )
- Effectiveness
of flood hazard maps for emergency response and necessity
of capacity building on flood hazard maps
(Mr. Andreas Haiduk, Water Resources Authority, Jamaica/JICA
Caribbean Disaster Management Project, and Dr. Il-pyo Hong, KICT,
Korea/ Hydrology Working Group, Typhoon Committee )
- Helping
communities establish community-based flood management
mechanisms
(Dr. Q. K. Ahmad, Bangladesh / APFM, WMO)
Conclusions
to be addressed by the co-chairs
|
Speakers: |
|
Desirable
legal framework to support an integrated approach to
flood management
Joachim Saalmüller
Project Officer
WMO/GWP Associated Programme on Flood Management |
|
INTEGRATED
FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT THROUGH APPROPRIATE KNOWLEDGE
SHARING AND CAPACITY BUILDING
Australian Government |
|
Formation
and Functions of COMMUNITY FLOOD MANAGEMENT COMMITTEES
(CFMCs)
The Community Flood Management Programme (CFMP)
in South Asia: Pilot Phase
(Bangladesh, India, Nepal) |
|
INTEGRATED
SEDIMENT –RELATED DISASTER MANAGEMENT IN INDONESIA
Bobby Prabowo
Directorate General of Water Resources
Ministry of Public Works of Republic of Indonesia |
|
The
Capacity Building on Flood Hazard Maps
(The Activities of Typhoon Committee HC)
Integrated Flood Risk Management through Approach Knowledge
Sharing and Capacity Building Systems
HONG, IL HONG, IL-PYO PYO
Korea Institute of Construction Technology Korea Institute
of Construction Technology
REPUBILC OF KOREA REPUBILC OF KOREA |
|
Integrated
flood risk management through appropriate knowledge
sharing
and capacity building systems
Atu KALOUMAIRA
Adviser – Community Risk Programme SOPAC SECRETARIAT,
SUVA FIJI |
|
Importance
of Interagency Activities in Effective Flood Management:
Red River Basin
Case Study
Slobodan P. Simonovic
Professor and Research Chair
The University of Western Ontario
London, Canada |
|
Flood
Forecasting and Hazard
Mapping in Jamaica
Andreas Haiduk
Water Resources Authority Jamaica |
|
|
|
Session
2.2
A Seamless Approach to the Global Problem of Drought |
|
Session
Report |
|
|
Date: |
21 January
2005 |
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|
Time: |
12h15-14h15 |
|
|
Venue: |
Ikuta room |
|
|
Organizer: |
NOAA in
collaboration with WMO |
|
|
Cooperating
UN agencies: |
ISDR, UNCCD,
UNEP and FAO |
|
|
Objectives |
Drought
affects many parts of the world and international cooperation
is vital in dealing with this phenomena so as to save lives
and eradicate poverty and to ensure sustained food security.
Drought is a complex and wide-spread natural hazard, affecting
more people in the United States than any other natural hazard.
Annual losses associated with drought are estimated at $6
to $8 billion alone in the US.
This
is an essential theme in which WMO is extremely involved
in assisting its Member countries, particularly those in
Africa, through the establishment and operations of Drought
Monitoring Centres (DMCs) and Regional Specialized Centres
such as the AGRHYMET Centre for the Sahelian countries.
Jointly, other Member countries, such as the US is equally
interested in drought, particularly in developing the early
drought warning system and building sustainable capability
in developing nations. Drought is recognized as one of
the eight grand challenges in the White House Subcommittee
for Disaster Reduction.
WMO
in this connection is working closely with the DMCs and
the CILSS (Inter-state Committee on Drought prevention
in the Sahel countries), regional and subregional bodies
as well as International organizations concerned. The other
main partners are the UNCCD Secretariat, UNEP and other
UN Agencies.
This
session will focus on the current efforts being made to
address drought mainly in Africa, and how far researchers
and institutions are involved.
Basically,
this session will aim to strengthen and enhance the international
cooperation needed and to propose strategies and policy
guidance in this field.
The proposed
format for the session is a panel discussion focusing on developing
a seamless approach to looking at global drought problems,
from understanding what is happening in both developed and
developing countries, to how can we work together through capacity
building and sustainability to better prepare ourselves in
drought years. |
|
|
Agenda: |
Each
panel member will give a 15 minute presentation. There will
be 45 minutes to an hour of open floor discussion after the
presentations. We will have a rappertuour for the session.
The session
will be held in English. The session will be translated
to Spanish and French. Points of contact for this proposal
are Mr. Alioune Ndiaye and Dr. Pai-Yei Whung. Mr. Ndiaye
and Dr. Whung can be reached at +41(0)22 73-8249 and at
+01(301)252-8588, respecitvely. You can also contact Donna
Lee at the U.S. Mission to the UN in Geneva at LeeDL2@state.gov or
+41(0)22 749-4618.
|
|
|
Speakers:
|
|
A
Seamless Approach to the Global Program of Drought
Agenda
Dr. Pai-Yei Whung, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, USA |
|
Drought
Impacts on Agriculture and Water Management in China
Prof. Mei Xurong
DG, Institute of Environment & Sustainable Development.
in Agri., CAAS
DDG, Center for Water Resources & Conservation Technologies,
CAA DDG, Center for Water Resources & Conservation Technologies,
CAAS
DDG, China DDG, China-Japan R&D Center for Agricultural
Technologies, CAAS Japan R&D Center for Agricultural Technologies,
CAAS |
|
Drought
monitoring and early warning in the Sahel : The AGRHYMET
experience
Dr Seydou B. TRAORE
Agrometeorologist |
|
Monitoring,
Assessment, Prediction and Meteorological service of
Agricultural
Drought in China
Wang Shili
China Meteorological Administration |
|
METEOROLOGICAL
DROUGHT EARLY WARNING IN AFRICA
Laban Ogallo
IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) Formerly
known as Drought
Monitoring Centre - Nairobi (DMCN) |
|
Drought
Decision Tools, Planning, and Mitigation:
Challenges and Opportunities
Dr. Donald A. Wilhite, Director
National Drought Mitigation Center
University of Nebraska
Lincoln, Nebraska U.S.A. |
|
Mr.
John Gaynor, Rapporteur |
|
|
|
Session
2.3
Reducing Risks Through Effective Early Warnings of Severe Weather Hazards |
|
Session
Report |
|
|
Date: |
20
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
12h15-14h15 |
|
|
Venue: |
Kikusui
room |
|
|
Organizer: |
Mr Katsuhiro
ABE: World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and
Mr John GAYNOR: National Weather Service (NWS)/National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) |
|
|
Objectives |
To
stimulate the development and/or strengthening of national,
regional and international early warning systems and more
effective dissemination of early warnings to reduce the risks
due to hazardous severe weather events. |
|
|
Brief
overview of the subjects being addressed: |
Significant
progress has been achieved, and more is expected in the next
decade in the area of medium-and extended-range (3-14 days)
forecasts of severe weather events. These probabilistic weather
forecasts are becoming an essential tool for emergency managers
in their risk reduction efforts. This session will review
current and future activities in early warning weather forecasting
on the one hand, and the effective use of upgraded disaster
prevention and preparedness measures for severe weather related
disaster mitigation on the other. |
|
|
Agenda: |
(2
hrs total)
1. Introductory
Remarks by Chair (Dr Zoltan Toth)
(5 minutes)
2. Five presentations
(each 15+2 mins for presentation & questions,
85 mins total)
i)
Title (tentative): The main components of weather forecast
systems
Speaker: Dr Zoltan TOTH (15 minutes)
Synopsis: Briefly describe the main components of numerical weather
forecasting: Observations, data assimilation, numerical modelling,
and applications. Describe origin and presence of uncertainty
in weather forecasts. Explain scientific need for using probabilistic
forecast approach.
ii)
Title (tentative): Probabilistic weather forecast products
Speaker: Dr. Ken MYLNE (15 minutes)
Synopsis: Describe various forecast formats, with emphasis on
probabilistic output. Present examples for early warning of severe
weather, including heavy precipitation, strong winds, and extreme
temperature. Explain why users need to utilize the probabilistic
forecast format.
iii)
Title (tentative): Early warnings for hurricanes
Speaker: Dr Jose Maria RUBIERA TORRES (15 minutes)
Synopsis: Briefly describe the process used for tropical storm
prediction. Highlight challenges with early warning of tropical
cyclones. Provide examples of probabilistic approach applied
to tropical storm prediction.
iv) Title (tentative): Tropical Cyclone Disaster Mitigation in
Bangladesh
Speaker: Dr M Alimullah MIYAN (Bangladesh) (15 minutes)
Synopsis: Briefly describe level of threat and socio-economic
background. Present current tropical storm mitigation practices.
Discuss achievements and good practices, and highlight where
system can be improved. What are the lessons that can be carried
over to other parts of the globe.
v)
Title (tentative): The use of weather forecasts in emergency
preparedness in Japan.
Speaker: Dr Kenzo HIROKI (Japan) (15 minutes)
Synopsis: Describe the mechanism and procedures for utilizing
early weather warnings in emergency management at the federal,
regional, and local government level in Japan. Provide examples
of how losses have been reduced or avoided by relying on probabilistic
weather forecast information. Comment on possibilities for adapting
similar procedures in other regions of the globe.
3. Panel
discussion based on questions and issues to be raised by
the audience/participants (25 minutes): Facilitator: Dr
Colin Depradine (Barbados)
Potential
Panel Members:
a) Dr Jose Maria RUBIERA TORRES (Cuba) : Vice-Chairman of the
WMO RA IV Hurricane Committee
b) Dr M Alimullah MIYAN (Bangladesh): Vice-Chancellor of South
Asian Disaster Management Centre
c) Mr Max MAYFIELD (USA): Director, Tropical Prediction Center
d) Mr Ken MYLINE (UK): Ensemble Forecast Research Manager, MetOffice
e) Dr. Kenzo HIROKI (Japan): Principal Research Engineer, UNESCO-PWRI
Centre, Japan
Discussion
topics/questions:
a)
What type of meteorological information do emergency managers
need?
b) What is the best way to use weather forecast information?
How should it be applied?
c) What priorities should tropical storm forecasts used by emergency
managers reflect? Can we zero in on this question while examining
different regions?
d) How can probabilistic information be most effectively used
in
emergency management?
e) What institutional or other support should the international
community provide to improve emergency response to tropical
storms in developing countries?
f) How can we share good practices and other meteorological ing
that good practices and other information among emergency managers
at the local, national, regional and global levels?
4. Wrap-up by Chair (Dr. Zoltan Toth) (5 mins)
Narrative
discussion of session
The theme
of the session is the use of probabilistic weather forecasts
in disaster mitigation. The first talk (Z. Toth, National
Weather Service, USA) will give a general, conceptual background
on the weather forecast process from observations through
the assimilation of data, to numerical modeling using ensembles
of forecasts. The focus of this talk will be on sources
of uncertainty in the forecast process.
The second
talk, by Dr. Ken Mylne (MetOffice, UK), will focus on probabilistic
weather forecast products that are necessary to convey
the forecast information to the users. This presentation
will also motivate the use of probabilistic information
from the users' point of view, using a simple economic
cost-loss model.
After these two, fairly general presentations, the third talk,
by Dr. Jose Maria Rubiera Torres (Forecast Office, Cuba), will
provide an illustration of the forecast process, including the
role of the human forecaster as a link between weather forecasting
and the users, for the case of tropical storm prediction. Examples
of early warnings of a probabilistic nature will be provided, offering
a link to the fourth presentation.
The fourth
talk, by Dr. Alimullah Miyan (IUBAT, Bangladesh), through
some examples, will describe user procedures for the use
of tropical storm predictions. The emphasis will be on
linking the weather forecast information with the emergency
decision making and preparation processes on the ground,
from the emergency management point of view.
The last
presentation, by Kenzo Hiroki (UNESCO-PWRI Centre, Japan),
will provide further examples, from another part of the
world, on the use of probabilistic weather forecast information
in emergency decision making, using additional examples
of high impact weather events. Emphasis will be on good
emergency management practices regarding the use of probabilistic
early warning products that could be generalized and considered
for application in other areas and countries as well.
The presentations
will be followed by a 25-min panel discussion, led by Dr.
Colin Depradine (Barbados). The Speakers and other experts
will field additional questions from the audience. The
discussion will provide a venue for direct dialog between
the providers (meteorologists) and users (emergency managers)
of weather forecasts for high impact weather. The discussion
will be aimed at outlining basic procedures that can be
used to enhance the effectiveness of weather dependent
emergency management operations. Forecasters will receive
input as to the requirements of the users, while the emergency
managers will learn about new ways of using probabilistic
information from early warning systems for high impact
weather events.
|
Speakers: |
|
|
|
Session
2.4
Coping with multiple hazards in urban settings |
|
Date: |
21
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
10h00-12h00 |
|
|
Venue: |
Ikuta room |
|
|
Organizer: |
-
ADPC in collaboration with WMO/ILCR,
- European Commission Joint Research Centre (EC/JRC),
- United Nations University (UNU). |
|
|
Outline
and objectives |
- Creating
conducive legal frameworks and institutional arrangements
for Multi-hazard risk reduction: experiences and lessons
learned from AUDMP,
- Approaches
for Earthquake Vulnerability reduction in urban areas:
Experiences from Asia,
- Floods
in Urban Areas,
- Transforming ‘victims’ to
a resource: Participatory actions for flood risk reduction
in secondary cities in Asia,
- Climate
change and increasing risks in urban areas: Presentation
will focus on the general threats to urban areas due
to a changing climate, increasing vulnerability and mitigation
actions can made that rely on providing predictions of
weather events on a day-to-day basis, seasonal and longer
term forecasts as input to urban planning.
- Mainstreaming
lessons learnt from “natech” events into
risk management,
- Threats
from climate change to coastal megacities: Focus on the
specific role of tropical - extra-tropical storms, typhoons,
storm surges coupled with sea level rise, leading to
more threats to mega cities in the coastal zone,
- Impact
of climate change on public health in urban areas: Focus
on the coupling of climate change, more stagnant days,
hot days – heat stress and air quality putting
the health of city dwellers at risk. Heat Health Warning
Systems for Cities and heat stress, including something
brief on the European heat wave of 2003.
|
|
|
Agenda |
Introduction
of session and ground rules: 5 minutes
Part
I: Reducing disaster risks in urban areas: Experiences
and Lessons Learned (50minutes),
Part II: Future challenges and how we address them ( 50 minutes
),
Part III: Finalisation and Plenary Presentation of Proposed Session
Recommendations to IGP
(15 minutes).
Panel
Discussion Part 1: All four speakers of part 1 remain on
podium and respond to questions from the floor written
on question slips. (10 minutes)
Panel Discussion Part 2: All four speakers of part 2 remain on
podium and respond to questions from the floor written on question
slips. (10 minutes)
Panel Discussion Part 3: Comments from floor (5 minutes)
|
|
|
Speakers:
|
|
Approaches
and Strategies for Urban Risk Reduction: Experience
from Asia
N.M.S.I.ARAMBEPOLA
TEAM LEADER.URBAN RISK MANAGEMENT
Asian Disaster Preparedness Center |
|
Conference
for Disaster Reduction Building
Partnerships for Mainstreaming Urban Disaster Risk Reduction
Drawing on lessons learned from Asian
Urban Disaster Mitigation Program
Loy Rego, NMSI Arambepola, Supriya
Prabhu, Dave Hollister and Erika Lund
Asian Disaster Preparedness Center |
|
Urban
Floods – Challenges
Mr. Dang Quang Tinh,
Director
Department of Dike Management and Flood and Storm Control,
Viet Nam
Srikantha Herath
Environment and Sustainable Development
United Nations University |
|
Mainstreaming
Lessons Learnt from Natechs into Risk Management
Practice Practice
Ana Maria Cruz, Ph.D.
DPRI, Kyoto University
University of North Texas, USA |
|
Climate
Change and Increasing Risks in Urban Areas
Gordon McBean, Ph.D.,
FRSC
Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction
The University of Western Ontario
London, Ontario, CANADA |
|
Notes: |
- All
titles are tentative and will be revised based upon receiving
final confirmation from the partner organizations and presenters.
- A pre
meeting of Session coordinators and rapporteurs and speakers
be held on the 17th to review and finalise preparations
for the session, collect all power point presentations
and load onto one computer. The pre meeting will also review
the draft recommendations (see process below).
- Panel
discussions : Question slips will be available in the hall
and participants are asked to fill them up and submit written
questions to speakers. The question slip will contain a)
name of person raising question, institutional affiliation
and email b) name of speaker to whom question is addressed
c) Question d) Comment if any. The purpose is to limit
participants from the floor turning their questions into
lengthy comments.
- During
the panel, each speaker will respond to one or two questions
of their choice only. Also other questioners can receive
written or verbal answers from speakers later.
- Proposal
on Recommendations to IGP If we as organisers are serious
about getting our recommendations to the Intergovernmental
Process through the cluster 2 panel chair, it will be better
to do some homework in advance and prepare a series of
draft recommendations from the session, which can be finalized
during part 3 of the session. We propose this may be done
in two parts related to the parts of the session, part
1 recommendations coordinated by ADPC and part 2 recommendations
coordinated by WMO / ILCR. ADPC will designate a part 1
Rapporteur and WMO/ILCR will designate a part 2 Rapporteur.
The Rapporteurs will coordinate the following process and
also be responsible for the plenary
- Each
speaker is asked to prepare upto 2 recommendations related
to theme of her/his presentation for incorporation into
Thematic Cluster 2 issues. This is submitted to the
Part 1 or part 2 Rapporteur by email in advance, preferably latest
by 11th January.
- Based
on the inputs from the speakers, A draft series of 8 recommendations
is prepared by each Rapporteur for their part. A total
of 16 draft recommendations is ready by 17th January and
can be reviewed by the persons present at the pre meeting.
- The
draft recommendations will be available in printed form
in the hall for all participants to review and even submit
written comments on.
- The
final recommendations to IGP will be based on the the draft
, modified by the comments received in the session. Finalisation
will be doen by the two rapporteurs and session coordinators.
|
|
|
Session
2.5
Visions of risk and vulnerability: patterns, trends and indicators |
|
Session
Report |
|
|
Date: |
18
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
13h00-15h00 |
|
|
Venue: |
Kitano
room |
|
|
Organizer: |
- Joint
Research Centre
- UN Development Programme
- UN University, Institute for Environment and Human Security |
|
|
Objectives |
The
objectives of this session are:
- To
share new knowledge and information on global risk and
vulnerability patterns and trends as well as existing
applications (i.e. existing indicators and indexing at
the global and regional level).
- To
raise awareness of the systemic approach to risk shifting
the mindset to address the changing risk landscape, to
ensure that institutions are able to keep pace with changing
vulnerabilities.
- To
identify and discuss various ways and gaps of risk and
vulnerability assessment.
D. Brief
overview of the subjects being addressed:
- Latest
research results on quantification of risk and vulnerability
by means of indicators and indices
- Risk
and vulnerability and the difficulties to define them
- Integrated
approaches to risk and vulnerability
- Are
indicators meaningful and useful for policymakers?
|
|
|
Agenda: |
Session
Chair: Irmgard Schwätzer, DKKV
Session
Rapporteurs: Ana Lisa Vetere Arellano, EC/JRC and Katharina
Thywissen, UNU-EHS
I.Introduction: Session
Chair 5 min
II.
Presentations :
1.Results of global and regional scale risk indicator/indexing
projects of ISDR working group 3
|
"UNDP/UNEP
Disaster Risk Index" 15 min
Andrew Maskrey
UNDP |
|
"ProVention/World
Bank Hotspots Project" 15 min
Maxx Dilley
IRI Colombia University |
|
"Interamerican
Development Bank Indicators for the Americas Project" 15min
Omar Cardona,
National University of Colombia |
2. |
|
|
"A
Systemic Approach to Risk" 10min
Reza Lahidji
OECD |
3. |
|
|
"Coping
Capacity: overcoming the black hole" 10
min
Peter Billing
ECHO |
III.Panel
Discussion: 45 min
- Moderator: Hans
van Ginkel, UNU
-
Panelists: Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer,
IIASA
-
Gerald Vollmer, EC/Joint Research Center
-
Mark Pelling, Kings College London
-
Jochen Zschau, GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam
IV.
Closing remarks and wrap up: 5 min
|
|
|
|
|
Session
2.6
Disaster reduction through efficient risk communication |
|
Session
Report |
|
|
Date: |
20
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
10h00-12h00 |
|
|
Venue: |
Kikusui
room |
|
|
Organizer: |
- European
Commission/Joint Research Centre (EC/JRC)
- United Nations University (UNU)
- Asian Disaster Reduction Center (ADRC) |
|
|
Objectives |
Proper
recognition of risks and active participation by the public
in disaster risk management are imperative aspects for reducing
the negative impact of natural disasters. Risk communication
is an effective measure for promoting public awareness and
action. However, the effective risk communication is still
under development and has not become a common practice. The
session will examine the current situation and problems in
the world and discussing future development of successful
risk communication.
A Brief
Overview of the Subjects Being Addressed:
- Understanding
of the views and roles of all stakeholders to achieve effective
risk communication
- Identifying the fundamental requirements of successful risk communication
- Reviewing practical methods of and approaches to risk communication
- Promoting effective risk communication for facilitating consensus
building among stakeholders
|
|
|
Agenda: |
Chair:
Mr. Gerald Vollmer, European Commission/Joint Research Centre
(EC/JRC)
1. Introduction to
the session (by the Chair) (10 mins)
2. Presentations:
Introduction of the Best Practices
- Tools for effective risk communication – (30
mins)
Speakers:
|
Dissemination
and communication of environmental information for
Rural and remote community development
Mr. Kelly Sponberg,
RANET |
|
“Town
Watching for Disaster Reduction” for effective
and successful risk communication
Prof. Dr. Yujiro OGAWA,
Visiting Researcher, Asian
Disaster Reduction Center (ADRC)
Professor, Fuji-Tokoha University |
|
Learning
from Experiences in Communicating Risk
Manu Gupta, Program
Director, Sustainable Environment & Ecological
Development Society (SEEDS) |
3. Panel
Discussion: Toward effective risk communication (70 mins)
Panelists:
|
Risk
Communication
An Australian Government Perspective
Dr Linda Anderson-Berry, Manager, Disaster Mitigation
Planning Services, Bureau of Meteorology, Australia |
|
A
Model for Risk Communication in Sustainable Floodplain
Management
Slobodan P. Simonovic,
Professor and Research Chair
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, the University
of Western Ontario, Canada |
|
South
African
Hazard and Vulnerability
‘ATLAS’
Dr. Dusan Sakulski, the coordinator
of the development of a South African hazard and vulnerability
atlas which is applicable for early warnings
UNU-EHS, Bonn, Germany
|
|
Dr.
Colin Depradine, Principal, Caribbean Institute
for Meteorology and Hydrology, Bridgetown, Barbados |
|
Effective
and successful risk communication
Mr. Muhammad Saidur Rahman,
Director, Bangladesh Disaster
Preparedness Centre (BDPC),
Dhaka, Bangladesh |
4. Session
wrap-up, conclusions and recommendations (10 mins)
|
|
|
Partners: |
Australian
Bureau of Meteorology, Government of Japan, United Nations
Development Programme (UNDP), United Nations Economic and Social
Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UN/ESCAP), United Nations
Educational Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO),
World Meteorological Organization (WMO), RANET, Japan International
Cooperation Agency (JICA), The General Insurance Association
of Japan |
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Session
2.7
People-centered early warning systems |
|
Session
Report |
|
|
Date: |
21
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
16h45-18h45 |
|
|
Venue: |
Ikuta room |
|
|
Organizer: |
- ISDR Platform
for the Promotion of Early Warning (PPEW)
- EWC II partners |
|
|
Objectives |
Aim: Outline,
illustrate and communicate key lessons for implementing effective
people-centered early warning systems, as identified at the
Second International Conference on Early Warning (EWC-II).
Outcome sought: Audience recognizes that
early warning and preparedness can substantially reduce disaster
impacts, that good early warning systems integrate the contribution
of a chain of many different actors, reaching right out to
those at risk, and that improvements to early warning systems
are needed and readily achievable. |
|
|
Agenda: |
Following
a welcome and introduction, the two-hour session will be
conducted in three parts: Chair, Reid Basher, UN-ISDR,
PPEW (3 minutes)
|
“People-centered
early warning systems”
The lessons of EWC-II
The EWC-II process in the context of disaster prevention and
reduction, and its call for more concerted international action
to improve early warning systems, through an International
Early Warning Programme, and supporting Platform for the Promotion
of Early Warning.
Norberto Fernandez, UNEP, past Chair of IATF/DR Working Group
on Early Warning, norberto.fernandez@unep.org (12
minutes) |
|
Case
examples: A set of six informative cases that illustrate
the key lessons for implementing effective people-centered
early warning systems, drawn mainly from examples and
participants at EWC-II. |
|
Community
Operated Early Warning Systems in Central America,
Current Trends.
Juan Carlos Villagran de Leon, UNU-IEHS ,
villagran@ehs.unu.edu (10
minutes) |
|
Early
Warning within the ISDR Global Wildland Fire
Network: Building of Community-Based Capacities
Johann G. Goldammer, GFMC , johann.goldammer@fire.uni-freiburg.de (10
minutes) |
|
Tsunami
warning and response. Charles McCreery, NOAA.
(charles.mccreery@noaa.gov)
(10 minutes) |
|
EARLY
WARNING SYSTEM FOR THE LOWER MEKONG RIVER
Erich Plate, University
of Karlsruhe, plate@iwk.uka.de (10
minutes) |
|
Eruption
and lahar warnings at Pinatubo Volcano: a comparison
Chris Newhall, USGS/University
of Washington, cnewhall@ess.washington.edu (10
minutes) |
|
People-Centered
Early Warning
Rural communities against desert locusts
Henri Josserand, GIEWS, FAO . (Henri.Josserand@fao.org)
(10 minutes) |
|
Tsunami
Preparedness in Communities
(Roles and Responsibilities)
George Crawford, Washington Emergency Management Division |
(Additional
minutes allowed for speakers to change over.)
- Open
discussion: This will be a forward-looking discussion.
It will aim to strengthen understanding and motivation
toward achieving effective people-centered early warning
systems, and to identify the important elements for future
action. It will provide guidance for what the new International
Early Warning Programme should achieve. The session will
conclude with a wrap-up by the Chair. (Total of 30 minutes).
Rapporteur
will be Yuichi Ono, PPEW. |
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Session
2.8
Data for evidence-based policy making |
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Session
Report |
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|
Date: |
20 January
2005 |
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Time: |
15h00-17h00 |
|
|
Venue: |
Kikusui
room |
|
|
Organizer: |
- UNDP
- the ISDR Working Group 3 partners (ADRC, OCHA Relief Web, CRED,
GDIN, Munich Re)
- NSET |
|
|
Objectives |
The
objectives of this session are:
- Exchange
of practices and lessons learned in improvement of ongoing
efforts of risk identification and assessment at both
the national and global levels
- Presentation
of the Disaster Data Consortium
Brief
overview of the subjects being addressed:
Since
its inception in 2000, the ISDR Working Group 3 has brought
together participants from different institutions in order
to address issues related to the quality, coverage and
accuracy of disaster databases. A Sub-working group focusing
on these issues was created in 2001 under the Chairmanship
of Maxx Dilley of the International Research Institute
for Climate Prediction (IRI) at Columbia University.
Activities
in this area have included:
- support
to the linking of disaster and related data from different
sources through a common unique identifying number (GLIDE)
that would be assigned to each event.
- a
review of existing national level disaster datasets that
is being carried out with support from the ISDR Secretariat.
- investigation
into historical disaster databases as to how disaster-related
losses are captured at the local, national and global
levels.
- identification
of data collection and assessment methodologies to improve
the coverage and quality of disaster loss data.
In its report
to the ISDR Interagency Task Force in October 2002, Working
Group outlined the need and rationale for a multi-tiered system
of disaster reporting that would consist of the aggregation
of local and national disaster data into global datasets linked
using a common unique identifying number. The development of
such a system would contribute to the improvement of ongoing
efforts of risk identification and assessment at both the national
and global levels as well as for almost all disaster risk management
applications |
|
|
Agenda: |
Session
Chair: Craig Duncan, Relief Web
I.Introduction: (5
minutes)
Opening
remarks and introduction to the session objectives (Chair
Relief Web - 5 minutes)
II.
Presentations: (70 minutes)
2.1-
Presentation of national disaster databases : Kamal Kishore,
UNDP and Amod Mani Dixit ,NSET- case of Nepal. Global disaster
databases: Debarati Guha Sapir, CRED and Thomas Loster,
Munich Reinsurance (total time 40 minutes).
2.2-
Presentation of GLIDE number enabling the linking of national
and global databases: Masaru Arakida, ADRC (10 minutes)
2.3-
Presentation of results of ISDR Working Group 3 study on
coverage of Disaster data: Maxx Dilley, IRI, Columbia University
(10 minutes)
2.4
- Presentation of proposed Risk Management Information
Platform: Andrew Maskrey, UNDP (10 minutes)
III.
Commentary: (10 minutes)
Larry
W. Roeder, GDIN.
IV. Discussion and wrap up: (35 minutes)
Chair
Relief Web
|
|
|
Speakers:
|
|
Data
for evidence based planning
EM-DAT and its application
D. Guha-Sapir, Professor
School of Public Health, UCL
Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium |
|
DesInventar:
Databases and Aplications
Latin America and Caribe.
Prof. Andrés Velásquez
Geologist |
|
Global
Disaster Information Marketplace: A Concept
Albert J. Simard |
|
GLobal
unique disaster IDEntifier number (GLIDE)
Masaru Arakida
Asian Disaster Reduction Center |
|
Investigating
the International Disaster Database
Maxx Dilley
Disaster and Risk Management
International Research Institute for Climate Prediction |
|
The
Munich Re NatCatSERVICE |
|
National
Disaster Databases
A regional perspective
Sujit Mohanty
Manager – Disaster Information Systems
UNDP, India
(South Asia) |
|
|
|
Session
2.9
Reducing risk through effective use of earth observations |
|
Session
Report |
|
|
Date: |
21
January 2005 |
|
|
Time: |
14h30-16h30 |
|
|
Venue: |
Ikuta room |
|
|
Organizer: |
- JAXA/Japan
(Yukio Haruyama)
- UNITAR (Francesco Pisano)
- NOAA/USA (Helen M. Wood) |
|
|
Objectives |
Earth
observations provide critical information to inform planning
and decision making at all levels (local to international)
and through all stages (mitigation through preparedness,
response and recovery) of disaster management. Advances in
Earth observation technologies (both in situ and remote sensing),
along with developments in computing and data communications,
have yielded highly sophisticated tools to identify, monitor,
assess, and model hazards that may lead to disasters. The
purpose of this session is to provide practical guidance
to governments worldwide on how to enhance their risk reduction
and disaster management efforts through more effective use
of Earth observations.
This session
will review lessons learned from user and data provider perspectives
and identify recommendations for future improvement. Topics
addressed will include findings from regional workshops; collaborative
efforts to improve the use of space based Earth observations
in disaster reduction; and UN-based and ad hoc intergovernmental
programs to provide comprehensive, coordinated and sustained
Earth observations for disaster reduction and other high priority,
socio-economic benefit areas. |
|
|
Agenda: |
|
GEOSS:
Intergovernmental Planning to Provide Earth Observations
to Benefit Society
Tetsuhisa SHIRAKAWA,
Deputy Minister
Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
(MEXT)
Japan
|
|
Lessons
Learned from Building an Integrated Earth Observation
System
Kenneth Davidson, WMO
World Climate Program, Director,retired |
|
United
Nations facilitating global access to Earth Observations
for local disaster risk reduction
From rapid mapping to Capacity Building
Alain Retiere (UNOSAT) Co-author: Jerome Bequignon (ESA) |
|
Making
Space based Technologies Available to Developing Countries
for Improved Risk Reduction and Disaster Management
Sergio Camacho, Director, UN Office for
Outer Space Affairs,
Co-authors: Harald Mehl (DLR/Germany), Jean-Luc
Bessis (CNES/France) |
|
The
Contribution of Earth Observation to Disaster Risk
Reduction
Findings from Current Activities
Phillippe Bally (ESA) Co-author: Marc Paganini (ESA,
IGOS GEO hazards) |
|
Risk
Reduction at the Local Level: User Perspectives on
the Use of EO
Sadrach Zeledon (Major,
Matagalpa, Nicaragua) |
|
Improving
Asia Regional Network for Disaster Management
Yoji Furuhama, JAXA/Japan |
|
|
|
|